Influence of Data Scattering on Estimation of 100,000 hrs Creep Rupture Strength of Alloy 617 at 700 °C by Larson–Miller Method

The 100,000 hrs creep rupture strength of Alloy 617 at 700 °C is estimated by Larson–Miller method using the rupture data of longer duration than 500 hrs in the temperature range between 593 and 816 °C, corresponding to 700 ± 100 °C. The maximum time to rupture was 40,126.7 hrs. The rupture data exhibit large scattering, especially at 760 °C. After eliminating the shorter time to rupture data at 760 °C, the regression analysis gives us the Larson–Miller constant C = 12.70 and the 100,000 hrs creep rupture strength of 100 MPa at 700 °C, by Swindeman program. The present regression analysis underestimates the constant C and 100,000 hrs creep rupture strength. The linear extrapolation of log t_r versus reciprocal temperature 1/T plots to 1/T = 0 gives us an average C value of C_av = 18.5, which is much larger than the constant C of 12.70 obtained by the Swindeman program. It is concluded that the origin of underestimation of the constant C and corresponding 100,000 hrs creep rupture strength is large data scattering. Using an appropriate constant C of 18.45, the 100,000 hrs creep rupture strength at 700 °C is estimated to be 123 MPa. Using the rupture data including the shorter time to rupture data at 760 °C and using C = 18.45, the 100,000 hrs creep rupture strength at 700 °C is estimated to be 116 MPa.